Simulation Status
📡
Simulation Status
How are our simulated economies performing against the real world?
Test Cycle 2025
Active Cycle
Proposal
Current Phase
4
Simulations
7
Active Teams
⚡ Live Economy Changes
Variables that have shifted from their real-world baseline due to student proposals
Calgary: Avg Homeowner EPT Increase
Real
228
→
Simulated
340
+49.1%
fiscal
NATO 2% Target Gap
Real
$20B
→
Simulated
$128.57B
+542.9%
fiscal
Edmonton: Avg Homeowner EPT Increase
Real
100
→
Simulated
154
+54%
fiscal
Alberta Provincial Debt (Projected 2027)
Real
$84B
→
Simulated
$109B
+29.8%
fiscal
Local Government Fiscal Framework Funding
Real
880
→
Simulated
860
-2.3%
spending
Municipal Fiscal Room Index
Real
55
→
Simulated
40
-27.3%
governance
Strategic Transportation Infrastructure Program Funding
Real
39
→
Simulated
29.3
-24.9%
spending
Alberta Provincial Deficit
Real
$0B
→
Simulated
$9.4B
0%
fiscal
Airdrie EPT Requisition
Real
49.7
→
Simulated
59
+18.7%
fiscal
EPT Share of Education Operating Costs
Real
28%
→
Simulated
33.4%
+19.3%
fiscal
Calgary: Provincial/Municipal Tax Increase Ratio
Real
1
→
Simulated
6.3
+530%
fiscal
Calgary: Provincial Share of Property Tax Bill
Real
38%
→
Simulated
42%
+10.5%
fiscal
Alberta Resource Revenue Volatility
Real
$0B
→
Simulated
$3.1B
0%
economic
NATO GDP Spending Target
Real
2%
→
Simulated
5%
+150%
governance
Rural Alberta Infrastructure Deficit
Real
$15B
→
Simulated
$17B
+13.3%
fiscal
EPT Year-over-Year Increase
Real
14%
→
Simulated
16%
+14.3%
fiscal
Child Poverty Rate
Real
8.5%
→
Simulated
9.4%
+10.6%
outcome
Alberta Education Operating Budget
Real
$10.1B
→
Simulated
$10.8B
+6.9%
spending
Alberta Education Property Tax Requisition (Total)
Real
$3.124B
→
Simulated
$3.592B
+15%
fiscal
Calgary EPT Requisition
Real
$1B
→
Simulated
$1.2B
+20%
fiscal
🎯 Causal Engine Test 2025 Tier 1
0 variables tracked · 0 epochs · 0 diverged from reality
0
Variables
0
Diverged
0
Current Epoch
0
Active Policies
Variable
Simulated
Real World
Sim / Real
Status
🎯 Causal Test Cohort Tier 1
27 variables tracked · 12 epochs · 10 diverged from reality
27
Variables
10
Diverged
12
Current Epoch
1
Active Policies
Variable
Simulated
Real World
Sim / Real
Status
Federal Employees
322.472
350
92.1%
-27.53
Federal Budget Balance
-25.163135322636
-40
62.9%
+14.84
Federal Spending
475.16313527
490
97%
-14.84
Program Delivery Efficiency
67.7758324
70
96.8%
-2.22
Unemployment Rate
5.72523
5.5
104.1%
+0.23
Healthcare Satisfaction
64.902287957
65
99.8%
-0.1
Poverty Rate
8.050052
8
100.6%
+0.05
Mental Health Index
67.957368965
68
99.9%
-0.04
Education Quality
71.992056825
72
100%
-0.01
Workforce Productivity
99.99839832
100
100%
0
Carbon Emissions
700
700
100%
= Real
Cost Of Living
100
100
100%
= Real
Credit Rating
95
95
100%
= Real
Debt Servicing Cost
36
36
100%
= Real
Employment Rate
94.5
94.5
100%
= Real
Environmental Health Index
65
65
100%
= Real
Federal Debt
1200
1200
100%
= Real
Gdp Growth Rate
1.99984984
2
100%
= Real
Gdp Total
2199.9999729776
2200
100%
= Real
Healthcare Wait Times
20
20
100%
= Real
Inflation Rate
2.5
2.5
100%
= Real
Infrastructure Quality
68
68
100%
= Real
Innovation Index
65
65
100%
= Real
Life Expectancy
82.5
82.5
100%
= Real
Population
40
40
100%
= Real
Renewable Energy Share
18
18
100%
= Real
Tax Revenue
450
450
100%
= Real
🎯 Tier 2 Test Cohort Tier 2
58 variables tracked · 20 epochs · 17 diverged from reality
58
Variables
17
Diverged
20
Current Epoch
0
Active Policies
Variable
Simulated
Real World
Sim / Real
Status
Clean Tech Investment
13
8
162.5%
+5
Renewable Energy Share
18.4
18
102.2%
+0.4
Research And Development
2
1.7
117.6%
+0.3
Carbon Emissions
699.73
700
100%
-0.27
Innovation Index
65.195
65
100.3%
+0.2
Environmental Health Index
65.067
65
100.1%
+0.07
Employment Rate
94.559664425
94.5
100.1%
+0.06
Workforce Productivity
100.036128982
100
100%
+0.04
Federal Budget Balance
-39.9679245376
-40
99.9%
+0.03
Gdp Growth Rate
2.030321
2
101.5%
+0.03
Tax Revenue
450.0291488874
450
100%
+0.03
Poverty Rate
7.9829727725
8
99.8%
-0.02
Healthcare Satisfaction
65.009818006
65
100%
+0.01
Mental Health Index
68.0133757727
68
100%
+0.01
Education Quality
72.0015
72
100%
0
Federal Debt
1199.9969913
1200
100%
0
Gdp Total
2200.00421524
2200
100%
0
Cost Of Living
100
100
100%
= Real
Credit Rating
94.999988
95
100%
= Real
Debt Servicing Cost
35.999909739
36
100%
= Real
Federal Employees
350
350
100%
= Real
Federal Spending
490
490
100%
= Real
Healthcare Wait Times
20
20
100%
= Real
Inflation Rate
2.5
2.5
100%
= Real
Infrastructure Quality
68
68
100%
= Real
Life Expectancy
82.5
82.5
100%
= Real
Population
40
40
100%
= Real
Program Delivery Efficiency
70
70
100%
= Real
Unemployment Rate
5.5
5.5
100%
= Real
Air Quality Index
72
72
100%
= Real
Birth Rate
9.5
9.5
100%
= Real
Broadband Access
92
92
100%
= Real
Business Investment
280
280
100%
= Real
Consumer Spending
1300
1300
100%
= Real
Crime Rate
75
75
100%
= Real
Digital Service Adoption
55
55
100%
= Real
Education Enrollment
65
65
100%
= Real
Energy Consumption Per Capita
310
310
100%
= Real
Ev Adoption Rate
11
11
100%
= Real
Forest Coverage
38
38
100%
= Real
Gdp Manufacturing
220
220
100%
= Real
Gdp Resources
220
220
100%
= Real
Gdp Services
1540
1540
100%
= Real
Healthcare Access
85
85
100%
= Real
Housing Affordability
45
45
100%
= Real
Housing Market Index
72
72
100%
= Real
Immigration Rate
12
12
100%
= Real
Income Inequality
32
32
100%
= Real
Interdepartmental Coordination
48
48
100%
= Real
Interest Rate
4.5
4.5
100%
= Real
Procurement Efficiency
52
52
100%
= Real
Public Trust Index
42
42
100%
= Real
Regulatory Efficiency
58
58
100%
= Real
Senior Population Pct
19
19
100%
= Real
Service Response Time
21
21
100%
= Real
Trade Balance
-15
-15
100%
= Real
Waste Recycling Rate
27
27
100%
= Real
Water Quality Index
78
78
100%
= Real
🎯 Tier 3 Full Simulation Tier 3
103 variables tracked · 26 epochs · 30 diverged from reality
103
Variables
30
Diverged
26
Current Epoch
0
Active Policies
Variable
Simulated
Real World
Sim / Real
Status
Clean Tech Investment
11
8
137.5%
+3
Federal Employees
347
350
99.1%
-3
Healthcare Spending
54
52
103.8%
+2
Renewable Electricity Pct
69
67
103%
+2
Climate Adaptation Spending
3.5
2.5
140%
+1
Education Spending
9
8
112.5%
+1
Carbon Emissions
699.318
700
99.9%
-0.68
Program Delivery Efficiency
69.6609397
70
99.5%
-0.34
Environmental Health Index
65.2472
65
100.4%
+0.25
Renewable Energy Share
18.24
18
101.3%
+0.24
Healthcare Access
85.16
85
100.2%
+0.16
Healthcare Satisfaction
65.142202378952
65
100.2%
+0.14
Healthcare Wait Times
19.884
20
99.4%
-0.12
Natural Disaster Preparedness
58.1
58
100.2%
+0.1
Innovation Index
65.0912
65
100.1%
+0.09
Air Quality Index
72.06
72
100.1%
+0.06
Education Enrollment
65.03
65
100%
+0.03
Education Quality
72.034267468973
72
100%
+0.03
Employment Rate
94.530211240957
94.5
100%
+0.03
Infrastructure Quality
68.032
68
100%
+0.03
Unemployment Rate
5.53
5.5
100.5%
+0.03
Mental Health Index
68.015992245321
68
100%
+0.02
Tax Revenue
450.01578985409
450
100%
+0.02
Workforce Productivity
100.01852119177
100
100%
+0.02
Federal Budget Balance
-39.994213698948
-40
100%
+0.01
Federal Spending
490.012381206
490
100%
+0.01
Life Expectancy
82.50731297805
82.5
100%
+0.01
Gdp Total
2200.0018287401
2200
100%
0
Poverty Rate
8.002777920161
8
100%
0
Public Trust Index
42.003
42
100%
0
Accessibility Compliance
72
72
100%
= Real
Agricultural Sustainability
62
62
100%
= Real
Biodiversity Index
68
68
100%
= Real
Birth Rate
9.5
9.5
100%
= Real
Broadband Access
92
92
100%
= Real
Business Investment
280
280
100%
= Real
Child Poverty Rate
9.5
9.5
100%
= Real
Consumer Spending
1300
1300
100%
= Real
Corporate Tax Revenue
70
70
100%
= Real
Cost Of Living
100
100
100%
= Real
Credit Rating
94.99999010021
95
100%
= Real
Crime Rate
75
75
100%
= Real
Cybersecurity Index
65
65
100%
= Real
Debt Servicing Cost
36.000004949895
36
100%
= Real
Defense Spending
27
27
100%
= Real
Digital Service Adoption
55
55
100%
= Real
Disability Support Rating
55
55
100%
= Real
Employee Satisfaction
62
62
100%
= Real
Energy Consumption Per Capita
310
310
100%
= Real
Ev Adoption Rate
11
11
100%
= Real
Exchange Rate Usd
0.74
0.74
100%
= Real
Excise Tax Revenue
15
15
100%
= Real
Federal Debt
1200.0001649965
1200
100%
= Real
Food Security Index
88
88
100%
= Real
Forest Coverage
38
38
100%
= Real
Gdp Alberta
340
340
100%
= Real
Gdp Atlantic
120
120
100%
= Real
Gdp Bc
305
305
100%
= Real
Gdp Growth Rate
2.000101620094
2
100%
= Real
Gdp Manufacturing
220
220
100%
= Real
Gdp Ontario
890
890
100%
= Real
Gdp Prairies
135
135
100%
= Real
Gdp Quebec
460
460
100%
= Real
Gdp Resources
220
220
100%
= Real
Gdp Services
1540
1540
100%
= Real
Gst Revenue
45
45
100%
= Real
Homelessness Rate
6
6
100%
= Real
Housing Affordability
45
45
100%
= Real
Housing Market Index
72
72
100%
= Real
Housing Starts
240
240
100%
= Real
Immigration Processing Time
18
18
100%
= Real
Immigration Rate
12
12
100%
= Real
Income Inequality
32
32
100%
= Real
Income Tax Revenue
195
195
100%
= Real
Indigenous Wellbeing Index
52
52
100%
= Real
Inflation Rate
2.5
2.5
100%
= Real
Interdepartmental Coordination
48
48
100%
= Real
Interest Rate
4.5
4.5
100%
= Real
It Modernization Score
48
48
100%
= Real
Official Languages Compliance
85
85
100%
= Real
Oil Price
75
75
100%
= Real
Opioid Crisis Index
21
21
100%
= Real
Passport Processing Time
15
15
100%
= Real
Plastic Waste Reduction
15
15
100%
= Real
Population
40
40
100%
= Real
Procurement Efficiency
52
52
100%
= Real
Protected Land Pct
13.5
13.5
100%
= Real
Provincial Emissions Alberta
275
275
100%
= Real
Provincial Emissions Ontario
150
150
100%
= Real
Public Transit Ridership
45
45
100%
= Real
Regulatory Efficiency
58
58
100%
= Real
Rental Affordability
32
32
100%
= Real
Research And Development
1.7
1.7
100%
= Real
Senior Population Pct
19
19
100%
= Real
Senior Poverty Rate
5.5
5.5
100%
= Real
Service Response Time
21
21
100%
= Real
Stock Market Index
21500
21500
100%
= Real
Trade Balance
-15
-15
100%
= Real
Training Investment
1200
1200
100%
= Real
Veteran Services Rating
62
62
100%
= Real
Waste Recycling Rate
27
27
100%
= Real
Water Quality Index
78
78
100%
= Real
Youth Unemployment Rate
11.5
11.5
100%
= Real
📜 Student Proposals
53 total · 5 implemented · 1 passed · 5 in voting · Net budget impact: $2.3B/yr
Implemented
National Housing Acceleration Initiative
Implemented
Defence Modernization Program
Implemented
Indigenous Services Enhancement
Implemented
Healthcare Transfer Efficiency Review
Implemented
Defence Procurement Reform
Passed
Manufacturing Subsidy Program: $1000M/year for 3 years
School vote
increase funding for courts system
School vote
Climate Action Investment Fund
School vote
Social Transfer Modernization
School vote
Manufacturing Subsidy Program: $0M/year for 5 years
School vote
Services Subsidy Program: $2200M/year for 3 years
Draft
Public Service Attrition Savings
Draft
Natural Resources Subsidy Program: $500M/year for 3 years
Withdrawn
Manufacturing Subsidy Program: $500M/year for 3 years
Proposed
Canadian Defence Industrial Sovereignty Act
Proposed
Alberta Municipal Fiscal Transparency Act
Proposed
Canadian Sovereign Defence Industrial Act
Proposed
Canadian Submarine Sovereignty Program
Proposed
Canadian Autonomous Systems and Drone Sovereignty Initiative
Proposed
Canadian Sovereign AI Infrastructure Act
Proposed
National Pharmaceutical Procurement Authority
Proposed
National Health Logistics Hub — Winnipeg Strategic Reserve
Proposed
Canadian Medical Device and PPE Sovereignty Act
Proposed
Canadian Sovereign Procurement Standard
Proposed
Canadian Energy Sovereignty Grid Act
Proposed
Canadian Permanent Prosperity Fund
Proposed
Arctic Transit Authority
Proposed
Canadian Water Sovereignty Act
Proposed
Canadian Public Data Licensing and Citizen Dividend Act
Proposed
Canada Housing Infrastructure Crown Corporation Act
Proposed
Canadian Boreal Carbon Credit Export Authority
Proposed
Pharmacare as Industrial Competitiveness Policy
Proposed
Canadian Sovereign Trades Immigration Pipeline
Proposed
Canadian Intergenerational Equity Lock
Proposed
Canadian Critical Minerals Sovereignty Vertical
Proposed
Canadian Sovereign Maritime Sensor Network Act
Proposed
Rural Digital Infrastructure Crown Authority Act
Proposed
Digital Subsidy Integrity Act
Proposed
Community Spectrum Access Act
Proposed
Canadian Personal Data Processing Residency Act
Proposed
Telecommunications Data Accountability Act
Proposed
Canadian Sovereign Digital Services Standard
Proposed
Canadian Community Food Network Act
Proposed
Grocery Market Transparency Act
Proposed
National Food Security Reserve Act
Proposed
Supply Management Reform and New Entrant Protection Act
Proposed
Canadian Agricultural Land Sovereignty Act
Proposed
Agricultural and Food Processing Worker Protection Act
Proposed
Canadian Human Rights Enforcement Modernization Act
Proposed
Legal Access Equity Act
Proposed
Disaggregated Data and Pay Equity Transparency Act
Proposed
International Professional Validation Program Act
Proposed
Pay Equity and Employment Standards Enforcement Act
🧑 Active Teams
7 teams across 4 schools
Notre Dame Knights
Alpha Team
Solo-9857-01234
Flow Test Team
Test Virtual Team
Virtual Test Squad
Westbrook Pioneers