Simulation Status

📡

Simulation Status

How are our simulated economies performing against the real world?

Test Cycle 2025 Active Cycle
Proposal Current Phase
4 Simulations
7 Active Teams

⚡ Live Economy Changes

Variables that have shifted from their real-world baseline due to student proposals

Calgary: Avg Homeowner EPT Increase
Real 228
Simulated 340
+49.1%
fiscal
NATO 2% Target Gap
Real $20B
Simulated $128.57B
+542.9%
fiscal
Edmonton: Avg Homeowner EPT Increase
Real 100
Simulated 154
+54%
fiscal
Alberta Provincial Debt (Projected 2027)
Real $84B
Simulated $109B
+29.8%
fiscal
Local Government Fiscal Framework Funding
Real 880
Simulated 860
-2.3%
spending
Municipal Fiscal Room Index
Real 55
Simulated 40
-27.3%
governance
Strategic Transportation Infrastructure Program Funding
Real 39
Simulated 29.3
-24.9%
spending
Alberta Provincial Deficit
Real $0B
Simulated $9.4B
0%
fiscal
Airdrie EPT Requisition
Real 49.7
Simulated 59
+18.7%
fiscal
EPT Share of Education Operating Costs
Real 28%
Simulated 33.4%
+19.3%
fiscal
Calgary: Provincial/Municipal Tax Increase Ratio
Real 1
Simulated 6.3
+530%
fiscal
Calgary: Provincial Share of Property Tax Bill
Real 38%
Simulated 42%
+10.5%
fiscal
Alberta Resource Revenue Volatility
Real $0B
Simulated $3.1B
0%
economic
NATO GDP Spending Target
Real 2%
Simulated 5%
+150%
governance
Rural Alberta Infrastructure Deficit
Real $15B
Simulated $17B
+13.3%
fiscal
EPT Year-over-Year Increase
Real 14%
Simulated 16%
+14.3%
fiscal
Child Poverty Rate
Real 8.5%
Simulated 9.4%
+10.6%
outcome
Alberta Education Operating Budget
Real $10.1B
Simulated $10.8B
+6.9%
spending
Alberta Education Property Tax Requisition (Total)
Real $3.124B
Simulated $3.592B
+15%
fiscal
Calgary EPT Requisition
Real $1B
Simulated $1.2B
+20%
fiscal

🎯 Causal Engine Test 2025 Tier 1

0 variables tracked · 0 epochs · 0 diverged from reality

0 Variables
0 Diverged
0 Current Epoch
0 Active Policies
Variable Simulated Real World Sim / Real Status

🎯 Causal Test Cohort Tier 1

27 variables tracked · 12 epochs · 10 diverged from reality

27 Variables
10 Diverged
12 Current Epoch
1 Active Policies
Variable Simulated Real World Sim / Real Status
Federal Employees 322.472 350 92.1% -27.53
Federal Budget Balance -25.163135322636 -40 62.9% +14.84
Federal Spending 475.16313527 490 97% -14.84
Program Delivery Efficiency 67.7758324 70 96.8% -2.22
Unemployment Rate 5.72523 5.5 104.1% +0.23
Healthcare Satisfaction 64.902287957 65 99.8% -0.1
Poverty Rate 8.050052 8 100.6% +0.05
Mental Health Index 67.957368965 68 99.9% -0.04
Education Quality 71.992056825 72 100% -0.01
Workforce Productivity 99.99839832 100 100% 0
Carbon Emissions 700 700 100% = Real
Cost Of Living 100 100 100% = Real
Credit Rating 95 95 100% = Real
Debt Servicing Cost 36 36 100% = Real
Employment Rate 94.5 94.5 100% = Real
Environmental Health Index 65 65 100% = Real
Federal Debt 1200 1200 100% = Real
Gdp Growth Rate 1.99984984 2 100% = Real
Gdp Total 2199.9999729776 2200 100% = Real
Healthcare Wait Times 20 20 100% = Real
Inflation Rate 2.5 2.5 100% = Real
Infrastructure Quality 68 68 100% = Real
Innovation Index 65 65 100% = Real
Life Expectancy 82.5 82.5 100% = Real
Population 40 40 100% = Real
Renewable Energy Share 18 18 100% = Real
Tax Revenue 450 450 100% = Real

🎯 Tier 2 Test Cohort Tier 2

58 variables tracked · 20 epochs · 17 diverged from reality

58 Variables
17 Diverged
20 Current Epoch
0 Active Policies
Variable Simulated Real World Sim / Real Status
Clean Tech Investment 13 8 162.5% +5
Renewable Energy Share 18.4 18 102.2% +0.4
Research And Development 2 1.7 117.6% +0.3
Carbon Emissions 699.73 700 100% -0.27
Innovation Index 65.195 65 100.3% +0.2
Environmental Health Index 65.067 65 100.1% +0.07
Employment Rate 94.559664425 94.5 100.1% +0.06
Workforce Productivity 100.036128982 100 100% +0.04
Federal Budget Balance -39.9679245376 -40 99.9% +0.03
Gdp Growth Rate 2.030321 2 101.5% +0.03
Tax Revenue 450.0291488874 450 100% +0.03
Poverty Rate 7.9829727725 8 99.8% -0.02
Healthcare Satisfaction 65.009818006 65 100% +0.01
Mental Health Index 68.0133757727 68 100% +0.01
Education Quality 72.0015 72 100% 0
Federal Debt 1199.9969913 1200 100% 0
Gdp Total 2200.00421524 2200 100% 0
Cost Of Living 100 100 100% = Real
Credit Rating 94.999988 95 100% = Real
Debt Servicing Cost 35.999909739 36 100% = Real
Federal Employees 350 350 100% = Real
Federal Spending 490 490 100% = Real
Healthcare Wait Times 20 20 100% = Real
Inflation Rate 2.5 2.5 100% = Real
Infrastructure Quality 68 68 100% = Real
Life Expectancy 82.5 82.5 100% = Real
Population 40 40 100% = Real
Program Delivery Efficiency 70 70 100% = Real
Unemployment Rate 5.5 5.5 100% = Real
Air Quality Index 72 72 100% = Real
Birth Rate 9.5 9.5 100% = Real
Broadband Access 92 92 100% = Real
Business Investment 280 280 100% = Real
Consumer Spending 1300 1300 100% = Real
Crime Rate 75 75 100% = Real
Digital Service Adoption 55 55 100% = Real
Education Enrollment 65 65 100% = Real
Energy Consumption Per Capita 310 310 100% = Real
Ev Adoption Rate 11 11 100% = Real
Forest Coverage 38 38 100% = Real
Gdp Manufacturing 220 220 100% = Real
Gdp Resources 220 220 100% = Real
Gdp Services 1540 1540 100% = Real
Healthcare Access 85 85 100% = Real
Housing Affordability 45 45 100% = Real
Housing Market Index 72 72 100% = Real
Immigration Rate 12 12 100% = Real
Income Inequality 32 32 100% = Real
Interdepartmental Coordination 48 48 100% = Real
Interest Rate 4.5 4.5 100% = Real
Procurement Efficiency 52 52 100% = Real
Public Trust Index 42 42 100% = Real
Regulatory Efficiency 58 58 100% = Real
Senior Population Pct 19 19 100% = Real
Service Response Time 21 21 100% = Real
Trade Balance -15 -15 100% = Real
Waste Recycling Rate 27 27 100% = Real
Water Quality Index 78 78 100% = Real

🎯 Tier 3 Full Simulation Tier 3

103 variables tracked · 26 epochs · 30 diverged from reality

103 Variables
30 Diverged
26 Current Epoch
0 Active Policies
Variable Simulated Real World Sim / Real Status
Clean Tech Investment 11 8 137.5% +3
Federal Employees 347 350 99.1% -3
Healthcare Spending 54 52 103.8% +2
Renewable Electricity Pct 69 67 103% +2
Climate Adaptation Spending 3.5 2.5 140% +1
Education Spending 9 8 112.5% +1
Carbon Emissions 699.318 700 99.9% -0.68
Program Delivery Efficiency 69.6609397 70 99.5% -0.34
Environmental Health Index 65.2472 65 100.4% +0.25
Renewable Energy Share 18.24 18 101.3% +0.24
Healthcare Access 85.16 85 100.2% +0.16
Healthcare Satisfaction 65.142202378952 65 100.2% +0.14
Healthcare Wait Times 19.884 20 99.4% -0.12
Natural Disaster Preparedness 58.1 58 100.2% +0.1
Innovation Index 65.0912 65 100.1% +0.09
Air Quality Index 72.06 72 100.1% +0.06
Education Enrollment 65.03 65 100% +0.03
Education Quality 72.034267468973 72 100% +0.03
Employment Rate 94.530211240957 94.5 100% +0.03
Infrastructure Quality 68.032 68 100% +0.03
Unemployment Rate 5.53 5.5 100.5% +0.03
Mental Health Index 68.015992245321 68 100% +0.02
Tax Revenue 450.01578985409 450 100% +0.02
Workforce Productivity 100.01852119177 100 100% +0.02
Federal Budget Balance -39.994213698948 -40 100% +0.01
Federal Spending 490.012381206 490 100% +0.01
Life Expectancy 82.50731297805 82.5 100% +0.01
Gdp Total 2200.0018287401 2200 100% 0
Poverty Rate 8.002777920161 8 100% 0
Public Trust Index 42.003 42 100% 0
Accessibility Compliance 72 72 100% = Real
Agricultural Sustainability 62 62 100% = Real
Biodiversity Index 68 68 100% = Real
Birth Rate 9.5 9.5 100% = Real
Broadband Access 92 92 100% = Real
Business Investment 280 280 100% = Real
Child Poverty Rate 9.5 9.5 100% = Real
Consumer Spending 1300 1300 100% = Real
Corporate Tax Revenue 70 70 100% = Real
Cost Of Living 100 100 100% = Real
Credit Rating 94.99999010021 95 100% = Real
Crime Rate 75 75 100% = Real
Cybersecurity Index 65 65 100% = Real
Debt Servicing Cost 36.000004949895 36 100% = Real
Defense Spending 27 27 100% = Real
Digital Service Adoption 55 55 100% = Real
Disability Support Rating 55 55 100% = Real
Employee Satisfaction 62 62 100% = Real
Energy Consumption Per Capita 310 310 100% = Real
Ev Adoption Rate 11 11 100% = Real
Exchange Rate Usd 0.74 0.74 100% = Real
Excise Tax Revenue 15 15 100% = Real
Federal Debt 1200.0001649965 1200 100% = Real
Food Security Index 88 88 100% = Real
Forest Coverage 38 38 100% = Real
Gdp Alberta 340 340 100% = Real
Gdp Atlantic 120 120 100% = Real
Gdp Bc 305 305 100% = Real
Gdp Growth Rate 2.000101620094 2 100% = Real
Gdp Manufacturing 220 220 100% = Real
Gdp Ontario 890 890 100% = Real
Gdp Prairies 135 135 100% = Real
Gdp Quebec 460 460 100% = Real
Gdp Resources 220 220 100% = Real
Gdp Services 1540 1540 100% = Real
Gst Revenue 45 45 100% = Real
Homelessness Rate 6 6 100% = Real
Housing Affordability 45 45 100% = Real
Housing Market Index 72 72 100% = Real
Housing Starts 240 240 100% = Real
Immigration Processing Time 18 18 100% = Real
Immigration Rate 12 12 100% = Real
Income Inequality 32 32 100% = Real
Income Tax Revenue 195 195 100% = Real
Indigenous Wellbeing Index 52 52 100% = Real
Inflation Rate 2.5 2.5 100% = Real
Interdepartmental Coordination 48 48 100% = Real
Interest Rate 4.5 4.5 100% = Real
It Modernization Score 48 48 100% = Real
Official Languages Compliance 85 85 100% = Real
Oil Price 75 75 100% = Real
Opioid Crisis Index 21 21 100% = Real
Passport Processing Time 15 15 100% = Real
Plastic Waste Reduction 15 15 100% = Real
Population 40 40 100% = Real
Procurement Efficiency 52 52 100% = Real
Protected Land Pct 13.5 13.5 100% = Real
Provincial Emissions Alberta 275 275 100% = Real
Provincial Emissions Ontario 150 150 100% = Real
Public Transit Ridership 45 45 100% = Real
Regulatory Efficiency 58 58 100% = Real
Rental Affordability 32 32 100% = Real
Research And Development 1.7 1.7 100% = Real
Senior Population Pct 19 19 100% = Real
Senior Poverty Rate 5.5 5.5 100% = Real
Service Response Time 21 21 100% = Real
Stock Market Index 21500 21500 100% = Real
Trade Balance -15 -15 100% = Real
Training Investment 1200 1200 100% = Real
Veteran Services Rating 62 62 100% = Real
Waste Recycling Rate 27 27 100% = Real
Water Quality Index 78 78 100% = Real
Youth Unemployment Rate 11.5 11.5 100% = Real

📜 Student Proposals

53 total · 5 implemented · 1 passed · 5 in voting · Net budget impact: $2.3B/yr

Implemented National Housing Acceleration Initiative
test_school budget +$1,500M/yr
Implemented Defence Modernization Program
test_school budget +$1,200M/yr
Implemented Indigenous Services Enhancement
test_school service +$350M/yr
Implemented Healthcare Transfer Efficiency Review
test_school efficiency $-600M/yr
Implemented Defence Procurement Reform
test_school efficiency $-150M/yr
Passed Manufacturing Subsidy Program: $1000M/year for 3 years
9857 economic +$1,000M/yr
School vote increase funding for courts system
9857 budget +$4M/yr
School vote Climate Action Investment Fund
test_school policy +$400M/yr
School vote Social Transfer Modernization
test_school efficiency $-250M/yr
School vote Manufacturing Subsidy Program: $0M/year for 5 years
9857 fiscal
School vote Services Subsidy Program: $2200M/year for 3 years
WBH economic +$2,200M/yr
Draft Public Service Attrition Savings
test_school efficiency $-120M/yr
Draft Natural Resources Subsidy Program: $500M/year for 3 years
WBH economic +$500M/yr
Withdrawn Manufacturing Subsidy Program: $500M/year for 3 years
9857 budget +$500M/yr
Proposed Canadian Defence Industrial Sovereignty Act
budget
Proposed Alberta Municipal Fiscal Transparency Act
governance +$2M/yr
Proposed Canadian Sovereign Defence Industrial Act
economic +$2,800M/yr
Proposed Canadian Submarine Sovereignty Program
budget +$1,600M/yr
Proposed Canadian Autonomous Systems and Drone Sovereignty Initiative
economic +$1,200M/yr
Proposed Canadian Sovereign AI Infrastructure Act
economic +$1,200M/yr
Proposed National Pharmaceutical Procurement Authority
efficiency $-2,500M/yr
Proposed National Health Logistics Hub — Winnipeg Strategic Reserve
budget +$180M/yr
Proposed Canadian Medical Device and PPE Sovereignty Act
policy +$450M/yr
Proposed Canadian Sovereign Procurement Standard
governance +$85M/yr
Proposed Canadian Energy Sovereignty Grid Act
infrastructure +$1,100M/yr
Proposed Canadian Permanent Prosperity Fund
fiscal +$8,000M/yr
Proposed Arctic Transit Authority
economic +$380M/yr
Proposed Canadian Water Sovereignty Act
governance +$95M/yr
Proposed Canadian Public Data Licensing and Citizen Dividend Act
economic +$180M/yr
Proposed Canada Housing Infrastructure Crown Corporation Act
economic +$9,500M/yr
Proposed Canadian Boreal Carbon Credit Export Authority
economic +$280M/yr
Proposed Pharmacare as Industrial Competitiveness Policy
economic +$11,500M/yr
Proposed Canadian Sovereign Trades Immigration Pipeline
+$420M/yr
Proposed Canadian Intergenerational Equity Lock
governance +$18M/yr
Proposed Canadian Critical Minerals Sovereignty Vertical
economic +$1,400M/yr
Proposed Canadian Sovereign Maritime Sensor Network Act
defence +$1,200M/yr
Proposed Rural Digital Infrastructure Crown Authority Act
telecommunications
Proposed Digital Subsidy Integrity Act
telecommunications
Proposed Community Spectrum Access Act
telecommunications
Proposed Canadian Personal Data Processing Residency Act
data_sovereignty
Proposed Telecommunications Data Accountability Act
data_sovereignty
Proposed Canadian Sovereign Digital Services Standard
data_sovereignty
Proposed Canadian Community Food Network Act
food_security +$800M/yr
Proposed Grocery Market Transparency Act
food_security +$28M/yr
Proposed National Food Security Reserve Act
food_security +$180M/yr
Proposed Supply Management Reform and New Entrant Protection Act
agriculture +$95M/yr
Proposed Canadian Agricultural Land Sovereignty Act
agriculture +$85M/yr
Proposed Agricultural and Food Processing Worker Protection Act
labour +$55M/yr
Proposed Canadian Human Rights Enforcement Modernization Act
human_rights +$95M/yr
Proposed Legal Access Equity Act
human_rights +$420M/yr
Proposed Disaggregated Data and Pay Equity Transparency Act
human_rights +$68M/yr
Proposed International Professional Validation Program Act
immigration +$185M/yr
Proposed Pay Equity and Employment Standards Enforcement Act
human_rights +$88M/yr

🧑 Active Teams

7 teams across 4 schools

Notre Dame Knights
1275 1 member
Alpha Team
9857 1 member
Solo-9857-01234
9857 1 member Solo
Flow Test Team
VIRTUAL 1 member
Test Virtual Team
VIRTUAL 1 member
Virtual Test Squad
VIRTUAL 2 members
Westbrook Pioneers
WBH 1 member